Climate Scenario Decision Tool

Description

The project will draw lessons for potential development of national-level guidance and/or decision support tool to support: - use of future climate scenarios/hazards in today’s decision-making. - partners to collaborate on cost effective investments and plans, for example by establishing shared planning assumptions on future climate scenarios/hazards relevant to their particular place and context. - Use of the latest science and information on climate projections and tipping points. Findings will supplement the Scottish National Adaptation Plan (SNAP3) consultation responses and will inform the finalised SNAP3 (expected September 2024) and the updated statutory guidance on Public Bodies Climate Change Duties (expected in 2025). The project will deliver: 1. A review of existing policy, guidance and stakeholder practice on use of future climate scenarios/hazards when making plans or investment decisions, including resources and practice in the UK and in comparable jurisdictions. 2. Identify common themes across existing guidance and stakeholder practice. 3. Discuss options and make recommendations for further development of national-level decision-making support aimed at supporting partners in Scotland to collaborate and to take future climate scenarios/hazards into account in today’s decision-making. The research should consider proportionality in any decision-support option – for example considering when a simpler approach is appropriate. The project will draw lessons for potential development of national-level guidance and/or decision support tool to support: - use of future climate scenarios/hazards in today’s decision-making. - partners to collaborate on cost effective investments and plans, for example by establishing shared planning assumptions on future climate scenarios/hazards relevant to their particular place and context. - Use of the latest science and information on climate projections and tipping points. Findings will supplement the Scottish National Adaptation Plan (SNAP3) consultation responses and will inform the finalised SNAP3 (expected September 2024) and the updated statutory guidance on Public Bodies Climate Change Duties (expected in 2025). The project will deliver: 1. A review of existing policy, guidance and stakeholder practice on use of future climate scenarios/hazards when making plans or investment decisions, including resources and practice in the UK and in comparable jurisdictions. 2. Identify common themes across existing guidance and stakeholder practice. 3. Discuss options and make recommendations for further development of national-level decision-making support aimed at supporting partners in Scotland to collaborate and to take future climate scenarios/hazards into account in today’s decision-making. The research should consider proportionality in any decision-support option – for example considering when a simpler approach is appropriate. TThe research will be presented in a short report and summarised in a presentation. The report must be written in plain English, use the ClimateXChange template and comply with public sector accessibility requirements. It should follow the structure below. - Executive summary - no more than two pages, detailing the key findings, the aim of the project and the value to a policy audience. - Glossary - Full project report - no more than 25 pages (excluding appendices) to include: Narrative analysis with evidence / findings responding to research objectives Discussion of decision-making support options Recommendations and outstanding priorities for next steps References (Harvard style) - Appendices – to include: The methodologies used and underlying assumptions Detailed results eg underpinning evidence or data To ensure all outputs meet quality standards and the needs of policy, they will be reviewed by the CXC Project Manager before being viewed by the project steering group. Tenderers should allow for at least two rounds of revisions to the draft report. The ownership of the research material including the final report and any data produced as a result of the research lies with ClimateXChange on behalf of Scottish Ministers. The research may be published on the ClimateXChange website, the date and format of which will be determined by the Scottish Government and ClimateXChange. ClimateXChange supports the Scottish Government Open Research Guidance for RESAS, summarised as “open as possible, closed as necessary.” This means that all products will be placed in the public domain, unless there is a strong argument otherwise (for example to comply with data protection regulations). Descriptions of all projects and related products will be uploaded to the ResearchFish system.